![]() ![]() If Matt Nagy switches back to Andy Dalton, it would be a move for the present. Tagged: Andy Dalton, Chicago Bears, Justin Fields, Matt Nagyĩ4 Comments Dannehy: Switch to Dalton Would Put More Pressure On Nagy But the quarterbacks need to take better care of the football if the team is going to score more points. What this tells us is that when the Bears have had adequate quarterback and offensive line play - which they mostly have since Halloween - they’ve moved the ball. Since Halloween, the Bears offense is 16th in EPA per play. There’s more to this though, with Andy Dalton at quarterback, the Bears have averaged 40.6 yards per drive - a mark that would be the best in the league - and 1.98 points per drive, 21st. Not great, but certainly not as awful as some have reported. They have also averaged two points per drive, a mark that would be tied for 20th. That mark would be tied for the sixth-best in the entire league. In Fields’ last four games, the Bears have averaged 36.4 yards per drive. ![]() That game was a part of a five-week clunk fest in which the Bears didn’t do a heck of a lot well on offense.īut we have seen some considerable progress since. The season totals probably aren’t even as dreadful as they look they’d be 22nd in yards per game without their 47-yard performance. Stop if you’ve heard this before, but the Chicago Bears are good quarterback play away from having a really good offense.Īs thoughts of sweeping changes in Halas Hall flood the minds of Chicago Bears fans, the reality is that the offense isn’t as far away from being good as most think. Tagged: Andy Dalton, Chicago Bears, Data Entry, johnathan wood, Justin Fieldsġ34 Comments Dannehy: Bears Offense Closer Than You Think Somebody attempting to quantify how much help a QB received ranked Fields 28th of 32 NFL QBs, meaning only 4 other QBs got less help from the rest of their offense than Fields did as a rookie.Ĭlearly, it’s fair to say that Fields wasn’t operating in ideal circumstances as a rookie, but how much did that actually hurt his performance? I want to briefly look at three specific areas where Fields appeared to be impacted more than Dalton.Related to that, there were plenty of complaints about the offensive scheme and play calling, which features a comically high rate of hitch routes for WRs, and, as we saw earlier this series, not as much play action as was warranted considering how well Fields did on play action.Two different sources said the Bears were able to get WRs open at the lowest rate of any team in the NFL.On the surface, it’s reasonable to think that Fields’ stats took a hit due to factors that are outside of his control. But that doesn’t help us if we are trying to identify how (or how much) the supporting cast impacted Fields in 2021. Of course, you could make the claim that Dalton is simply a bad QB, and that doesn’t change no matter how good or bad the offense is around him. You can argue Dalton had a similarly bad supporting cast in Cincinnati in 2019, but he played in a really good Dallas offense in 2020, and there is no evidence that going from that to Chicago hindered his performance. Besides that, he was pretty much the same bad quarterback in all three years. Dalton’s sack rate rose a little in Chicago, but he also held the ball a little longer. Deep throw % is from Pro Football Reference’s Game Play Finder, while all other playing style stats are from Next Gen Stats.Īs you can see, there doesn’t actually appear to be much of a change across seasons. The table below examines Dalton’s efficiency (blue) and playing style (orange) across his last three seasons. Dalton has been on three different teams over the last three years – Cincinnati in 2019, Dallas in 2020, and Chicago in 2021 – so if his performance took a drastic drop in 2021 compared to the previous stops, that would be supporting evidence for the theory that Fields was hurt by the offense around him. ![]() My initial idea was to look at Andy Dalton’s stats in Chicago compared to his previous seasons. This piece examines if we can quantify how much the offense around him may have hurt Fields’ production. ![]()
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